World JRs: Li Zhuhao (1:55 200BU) & Wang Lizhou (59.7 100BR) In Huangshan

Li Zhuhao of China

Two world junior records fell on the second day of racing at China Autumn Nationals in Huangshan, 16-year-old Li Zhuhao on 1:55.52 in the 200m butterfly and 17-year-old Wang Lizhou on 59.79 in the 100m breaststroke.

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Two world junior records fell on the second day of racing at China Autumn Nationals in Huangshan, 16-year-old Li Zhuhao on 1:55.52 in the 200m butterfly and 17-year-old Wang Lizhou on 59.79 in the 100m breaststroke.

Comments

commonwombat

The issue, as always, with the Chinese is who/how many will actually replicate their domestic swims in the major international meet. Usually there will be some but the “miss rate” does tend to be quite high.

You should certainly include them in “calculations” in various events, especially those with known international records, but often risky betting on newer names & juniors.

jordantan29

We shall find out very soon whether he could perform outside of China as he will be taking part in the world military games in south korea together with Ning.

Iain

Xu, Wang, Li and Ning could form a really formidable team – three of them have shown they can perform on the world stage already, and Wang must surely be an improvement from the high 1:00 breaststroker they took to Kazan.

Rafael

A 52 high back with Xu who might get into 52 mid, a flyer who can be 50 next year, a breaststroker who can get into 59 low 58 next year and a 47 low free relay leg.

Will we see China winning both golds on medley relay??

commonwombat

Its all in the land of coulds at this point. The podium in Kazan is likely to bear scant resemblance to the one in Rio apart from the presence of the USA who ARE likely to be significantly strengthened by Phelps’ return.

CHN may certainly enter the medal picture.

A return to form by GBR flyers will certainly strengthen their hand but the lack of a class 100fs may still be a bridge too far.

Can FRA continue to carry a weak brs leg ?

AUS would be foolish to bet on another McEvoy miracle split to save their hindquarters after an uncompetitive fly leg.

Likewise with the women. CHN won in Kazan by having the most even quartet. They certainly deserve to go in as potential favourites but a long way from being a secure bet.

SWE swam “the lights out” and whilst they must still be respected, a repeat medal is far from a sure bet. If all 4 legs “click” for DEN, they have to be a major chance.

Its unlikely that BOTH the AUS Brs & fly legs will be as poor in Rio as they were in Kazan. Likewise, USA is likely to be more competitive to varying degrees in Rio on their first 3 legs although the anchor leg is still a major deficit.

felix

USA win both medley relays in Rio

commonwombat

Felix; men – Yes; they are realistic favourites.

Women …… would need to take a number of significant steps forward on ALL legs

– Franklin realistically has to find a whole new level to beat Seebohm over 100 or be back to her best to be a chance. Neilsen (DEN) can be thereabouts. Coughlin is a possible alternative but she would need to find new PBs at 33-34 ? China isn’t conceding much on this leg either.

– Is the much touted Meili a real step-up on Hardy ? Yet to be established, likewise King

– For all the hoohaa about Worrall, her PB is essentially 57.2-3 and has yet to split below 57. Not exactly up with the sharp end. Vollmer returning to her previous level …. possible certainly but miles away from a certainty.

– US 100fs seems stuck in a rut of 53high with no one looking remotely near breaking 53flat start & no recent sub53 relay splits. Realistically they are conceding significant ground “going home” to a number of major players & none of their current crop look particularly “likely” to change things in the short term (Rio)

In other words, of course it’s possible they could win the W4XMED in Rio but it would need ALL of the above weaknesses to be addressed …. AND their key rivals (who finished well in front of them in Kazan NOT to have addressed at least some of their own issues.

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