U.S. Olympic Trials: No. 1 in 1:05.20, Lilly Is King Of The Hill In 100 Breaststroke

Lily King, courtesy of Hoosiers, Indiana University
Lily King, courtesy of Hoosiers, Indiana University

Lilly King put together a wire-to-wire victory in the 100 breaststroke, touching the wall in 1:05.20 for the No. 1 time in the world this year.

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Comments

commonwombat

Whilst times at this meet, to date, have largely been within generally expected parameters,or in some cases, slightly below; this result is perhaps the first to exceed expectations on the “top side”.

It certainly puts a new complexion on the international picture which has been looking very fluid with Efimova’s eligibility in question and reigning champion Meiluyte looking distinctly vulnerable over the past 12 months.

How she, and others, will react in the Olympic crucible remains to be seen but her 1.05.20 does give her some clear “space” over the competition and has to see her as favourite at this point.

Also a strengthening for the US W4XMED which fell down markedly in Kazan, as this does give US a “paper” advantage of 0.9sec over their main competition on this leg.

They could most certainly bridge this gap in Rio or it could just as easily widen. Other legs are likely deficits for US but they certainly have to see this as a distinct area of advance.

aswimfan

No Olympics gold medalist in women’s 100 breaststroke has ever successfully defended.
I am rather doubtful that Ruta will break the tradition. If she does, it will be extremely tremendous.

King’s 1:05.2 has given USA Medley relay a 1 second advantage over AUS on the breast leg. The women’s 4×100 medley will be a very tight race between USA – AUS – CHN, much tighter than it has ever been.

kevin roose

Australia has a slight advantage in backstroke and possibly a bigger advantage in freestyle , America has a slight advantage in butterfly and a bigger advantage in breastroke …….Bohl and Mckeon will really need to step up to give Cate any chance of over taking the American in the last leg ……
It will be a superb dog fight to the end ……

KeithM

I think I’d still make Ruta a marginal favorite at best or a co-favorite at worst. She doesn’t need to show her hand until Rio since qualifying was never going to be an issue. Her times so far have been solid enough in the build up for August.

Anon

i think usa has to be the favourite for the relay. there’s a good chance seebohm won’t be that much ahead of smoglia (seebohm lead off 58.8 last year after swimming 58.2 in the individual), king will prob be a second faster than bohl, worrell will be at least 0.5s faster than mckeon (if not more), and i can’t see C1 being more than 1s faster than the fastest american

aswimfan

Anon, if you can’t see C1 being more than 1s faster than fastest American, then you’d better hope the American freestyle anchor in faster than 52.5, because C1 has split 51.5 and C2 51.6
This means there should be at least one sub 53 freestyler in 2 days time.

commonwombat

Anon, it appears that you are working on a basis that ALL Americans will be firing and ALL the Australians will underperform.

History tells us that that is rarely the case in relays. More often its a case of which team has one leg that blows the race apart/takes the race away from the competition rather than everyone firing.

Aussies will have had to go through a whole new preparation for Rio; some will be able to “come up” for a 2nd time a season, others won’t. Correspondingly, the Americans will need to hold this current form through Rio; again some will others won’t.

ASF IS correct with regards to the freestyle part of the equation. Both C1 & C2 have repeat form when it comes to sub 52 splits in major international meets over the past 2 years and C1’s repeat 52.3s this year suggest that such a scenario looks in play this year.

The US hasn’t had a sub53 split since 2013 and the current US standard has been anchored around 53.6-53.8. Whilst we may see some “step ups” over the next few days; a sub53 flat start looks to be a significant “ask”. Whilst I think its reasonable to suggest we may see some sub53 splits in the 4×100 & maybe on this anchor leg; the 52.mid or better is another step entirely.

And I’m not engaging in Yank bashing, I make the same point to Aussies who make the assumption that the advances they saw at AUS trials will automatically carry through or be replicated in Rio.

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