The Brawl To The Wall: Big Battle Brewing At U.S. Trials In 100 Backstroke

Matt Grevers  by Patrick B. Kraemer
Matt Grevers by Patrick B. Kraemer

Of Matt Grevers, David Plummer and Ryan Murphy, one potential Olympic medalist in the 100 backstroke will be left home.

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Comments

commonwombat

A refreshingly measured and rational assessment ….. which might get you tarred and feathered on some other US pages !!

I’ve been reading so many pronouncements that the M100back WR is certain to “go down” at US Trials but its far from a certainty. Each of the trio of Murphy, Grevers and Plummer ARE, potentially “in the ballpark” to give it a shake but then again so is Larkin who was actually rather technically untidy at AUS Trials. It’s a very possible scenario but saying it is likely is something else again.

Saying Missy Franklin would NOT be a lock for selection in the W100back would have certainly seen you not only tarred and feathered but deported had such an opinion been ventured 2-3 years ago but it’s a 2016 reality. The current reality is that there has been no American sub59 since 2013 and whilst US officials and fans would love this to be rectified in Omaha; this is certainly no done deal.

In order to be anywhere near the medals in Rio, the Americans will need to have someone significantly below 59 and even moreso for the W4XMED. As regards qualifiers, this one looks a lottery and your guess is as good as mine.

Concur re John’s summation on DiRado; whilst she’s very much in play to qualify in W200back its the medleys where she is a “player” with regards to the medals although I feel the 200IM may also be in play as well as the 400.

“The Trademark” ? Concur with regards to his likely prospects. This is very clearly a very talented young swimmer but the evidence that has been put before us over the past 12 months does have one questioning the judgement and expertise of those at the head of the enterprise.

Where there is legitimate quality, one hopes it will inevitably get the full and best opportunity to flower but I really do hope that the managers of this enterprise really do some rethinking before they consider listing him on the NASDAQ, let alone the NYSE !

aswimfan

CW, I agree. I always love John Lohn’s swimming articles, and this is one of them. He knows how to write and he knows swimming very very well.

Verram

When do the US Trials start? Do they coincide with the Aussie Grand Prix series by any chance?

Craig Lord

Yes, right in the middle of it: Aus GP July 1-2; USA trials June 26 – July 3… Paris Open that last weekend, too

Verram

Hmm we may see some of the Aussies trying to match the us trials times

Craig Lord

Really, Verram – why would they want to do that? I’d have thought they’d keep their head down and their powder dry 🙂

Verram

The thing is they do need to learn to swim fast during the heats at the Olympics so they may need to practice doing that instead of just cruising it to the finals

commonwombat

I’ll steer a middle course between Craig & Verram on this one. They’re all different swimmers with differing characteristics; some have the capacity to swim at/near world-best times in season whereas others cannot.

There will most definitely be a close eye on what’s going down in Omaha but one would strongly hope NOT to the extent of self-sabotage. It may be that a few opportunities may arise where there may be the capacity to “lob a grenade” in the direction of the Americans/send a message but realistically this meet should be more about fine-tuning the key race skills; something that has cost AUS swimmers medals and golds in the past.

Barnabas Mandi

Also that week 53rd Sette Colli June 24-26; Latvian Open June 27-29; Budapest Open June 29-July 2; Bulgarian National and Scottish Open June 30-July 3; Czech and Swiss National July 1-3; French and Luxembourg Open July 2-3.

Craig Lord

Indeed, Barnabas – some meets might be a touch faster than others 🙂

aswimfan

I’m with Craig on this one.
In general, the Aussie grand prix on Olympics year didn’t yield very fast times, with the exception of 2008 LZR year.

Barnabas Mandi

The possibility for last minute qualifying or fine-tuning, or just racing a bit is the same but of course you are right threre will be slight differences 🙂

commonwombat

As I stated earlier re AUS GP; performances will vary according to the individuals. Those who are characteristically quick “in season” will most likely be reasonably quick whilst those who aren’t are unlikely to. Might we see some anomalies ….. maybe; the significance of which we can only judge in retrospect when we see how they perform in Rio.

ASF, whilst what you have stated may’ve been true in the past; I’m not sure we can necessarily take it as being a universal truth this year given how some swimmers have evolved over the past 4 years; particularly the likes of C1, Seebohm, Larkin … to a degree McEvoy

Barnabas Mandi

cw,
Relevant topic. In different countries where there isn’t only one chance to get tickets to Rio (trials) these events are the last possibilities to swim your best, or at least swim better than the two-three guys in front of you. In w800 free B. Kapas, K.Hosszu, E. Risztov and A.Juhasz could go. Kapas will, Hosszu won’t (in 800 🙂 ). Risztov’s time is only better with .20 than Juhasz’s. This is Risztov’s and Juhasz’s only A cut. (Risztov will swim the open water). And the last possibilities to swim in the Rio pool.

commonwombat

Barnabas, each event has their own specific set of circumstances. My comments directly above related solely to the AUS GP meet. With regards to the various Euro meets, you are correct in stating that these may be the “last chance saloon” for some swimmers whose countries have not finalised Rio selection which closes 3rd July.

Barnabas Mandi

cw,
I’ve never heard from anybody in NSW or Victoria that the common wombat is a polite creature.

commonwombat

Indeed some of us are “very common” indeed !! Although you can also find us in Tasmania, South Australia and south east Queensland …… although we do tend to disown the Tasmanians LOL

Barnabas Mandi

I know, but I saw “you” only there, the northermost was at Blue Lake, Jenolan Caves the southernmost was not far away from Sovereign Hill, Ballarat. You are so mystic but love fences for sure 🙂

craig swanson

Reckon this two swimmer per nations is crap even if three qualify. These swimmers bust a gut for four long years to get to the Olympics . It is a massive knife to the guts to miss out because of this ridiculous rule.

craig swanson

Craig. Any surprise packets in the US squad we should be keeping an eye on?

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