Long Before U.S. Trials, Chase Kalisz Takes The 2017 Pace Below 4:10 In Atlanta 400IM

Chase Kalisz, by Patrick B. Kraemer

Olympic silver medallist Chase Kalisz produced the first sub-4:10 of the years over 400m medley at the Atlanta round of the U.S. Pro Swim series. His 2017-world-ranks topping 4:09.43 came off splits of 56.74; 2:00.52; 3:10.31 and a closing 59.12 on freestyle. And Rya Murphy and Jacob Pebley go 1:55 and 1:56 in the 200m back

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I see, again, that Conor Dwyer was a no show at this meet, having also by-passed Mesa. It makes me wonder if he will even be present at trials for Hungary, or if he will be significant. As a regular and strong member of the 4×200 relay squad, his presence, or lack of it, could be very significant.
Similarly, the women’s squad will be missing at least three members of the Rio team, with Schmitt, Dirado, and Franklin all either retired, or in recovery. As it looks right now, they are far more vulnerable than 12 months ago.


There seems to be some thought that Dwyer may not front for Trials; we’ll know more for certain as time elapses. As for their 4×200; GBR with 2 sub 1.46sec are most definitely looking a threat; again US Trials will tell us more.

Much less worry with the US W4X200. They have Ledecky who is a “gun” far over and above anyone that any other nation can present. Beyond her, they currently have a solid raft of swimmers putting out 1.57s which we should almost certainly see coming into 1.56s at Trials.

CHN does look to have a quartet in the 1.56/1.57 bracket but they lack anyone likely to drop in a 1.54 split which might give the US a slight shudder. No other country is remotely in the picture; AUS still has McKeon but with Barratt retired & Cook off the scene they’re back to 1.58s for the other 3 legs

Barnabas Mandi

W4x200 Canada? Hungary? For the Bronze.


Possibly, Barnabas; my comment about “no one else in the picture” specifically referred to being any threat to the USA winning.

CAN has lost McLean & Oleksiak hasn’t shown a great deal this year. They’ll be relying on her rediscovering that 2016 level if they are to medal as they currently have no one below 1.58 this year.

HUN ? Quite possibly in the bronze hunt. Hosszu is on par or potentially superior to most other nation’s “guns” and they have Kelesy sub 1.58. They’ll most likely need the other 2 legs to split better than 1.57mid in order to medal

Barnabas Mandi

I know what you meant, CW. Hun: Jakabos, Kapas, Verraszto. Two of them will be under 1.58. (Otherwise Ajna is Kesely).

Attila Riez

I have a feeling that Hosszu comes up with a 200 Fly surprise, which is on the same day. If it happens, she definitely scratches the free relay that is by the way her most painful memory from Rio.

Craig Lord

And if she does, Attila, a striking aspect of a unique profile will have been completed: her best efforts and results, all strokes, all distances, will belong to the post-2013 season and post-25 years era of her career; all strokes, all distances – nothing in world swimming comes remotely close to that profile – and, interestingly, no-one is following the model, not even a hint of them doing so. Beyond that, I would imagine it might be useful for Hungary to have Hosszu as a team player at a home world championships, the 4×200 the best (perhaps only) shot of a relay medal.


With regards to that HUN W4X200; maybe also the one chance in a generation for them to snag a medal in that event given they are probably at/near their optimal point with regards to personnel and their potential whereas most other “usual contenders” are at their weakest point of the Olympic cycle with post-Olympic turnover.

Attila Riez

Indeed that would be unique, Craig, especially completing the picture with her solid Tokyo ambitions.
However, I am just guessing at the moment as a layman. My point is that KL will arguably grab four individual golds. Sjostrom also has a good chance to do the same. Now, for Hosszu it’s a matter of prestige to join that club, whilst her schedule is way less favourable than Sarah’s, to attain that. She starts with 200IM on the second day, probably kicking off with a new WR. Then here comes the maths. 100Back conflicts, and the field is too strong to target a win with confidence, especially having Seebhom back to top. Yet, she has to challenge her in 200 (that might be included in her agenda, taking a look at her recently developed brutal thighs). 400IM likely will be the same as it was in Kazan, whoever tries to run up on her. Logically, her only chance is to shave off close to a second from her 200Fly PB of Barcelona, to take on Belmonte. Is that realistic at all? Well, we should remember the end of her monstrous program in Windsor, where she still was able to better by six tenths to win.
As for the relay, I think that both Kapas and Kesely (providing their unbelievable progress) are able to deliver a sub 1:57, which would make that bronze possible, and this time it doesn’t interfere with Hosszu’s schedule either. My question is about the mental part. Surely Katinka didn’t fade over that last twenty meters in Rio because of having weak legs.

Craig Lord

There are definitely challenges there, Attila, in and out of the water.

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