In A Storm With A Legend On The Rise: Who Can Have A Last Laugh With Katie Ledecky?

Katie Ledecky (USA) and those most likely to be the greatest threat to a clean sweep on freestyle - images by Patrick, B. Kraemer, Ian MacNicol, Peter Bick, Speedo and Arena

There’s a full house in Kazan when it comes to defending champions in women’s freestyle events: Ranomi Kromowidjojo (NED) in the dash, Cate Campbell (AUS) in the 100m, Missy Franklin in the 200m and her USA teammate Katie Ledecky in the rest, 400, 800, 1500m. It is the rest plus the 200m that leads us to the eye of a freestyle storm gathering

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There’s a full house in Kazan when it comes to defending champions in women’s freestyle events: Ranomi Kromowidjojo (NED) in the dash, Cate Campbell (AUS) in the 100m, Missy Franklin in the 200m and her USA teammate Katie Ledecky in the rest, 400, 800, 1500m. It is the rest plus the 200m that leads us to the eye of a freestyle storm gathering

Comments

Yozhik

I think that Ledecky is mostly for medals in Kazan. It wouldn’t be too far from true suggesting that she doesn’t want to see any word like “silver” or “bronze” on her wiki page. The only world record that everybody expects her to break for a year already is 800. If the WC goes well for her I think she will be in the mood to challenge it.
As Aswimfan noteced earlier, her last interview sounded like she’s got something up her sleeve. After listening to it one more time I share his opinion. Beside that there are no hints so far where she is standing now. Carlin is actually very close at 800 shouldn’t Katie feel like swim hard. Just two more days and we will have all answers.

aswimfan

If I may suggest one of the reasons Carlin closer to Ledecky in 800 is because Ledecky’s 800 WR is actually not on par with her 400 and 1500 WRs.
If it were on par, it should be at around 8:08-8:09, so she is still due to break 800 WR even if she never break 400/1500 WRs again.

Yes, Carlin has about the same on top of water speed as Ledecky’s but Ledecky has crazy good turns and start for distance swimmers (In Pan Pacs, her start and turns were even better than most sprinters!).

Yozhik

“..how will they cope with her”. It’s so true Craig. If Ledecky passes the “bottleneck” of day 3 without issues then she will swim finals next day in Sjostrom’s split style targeting 1:54:7 – with fast 56 flat or very low out and 58 low in. The best lineup for her in final is
Lane 2: McKeon
Lane 3: Ledecky
Lane 4: Franklin
Lane 5: Heemskerk
Lane 6: Pelligrini
Lane 7: Someone slow but not Hosszu
So Franklin will push Heemskerk not giving her luxury of slow start and living no energy for strong finish.
Katie will break Missy by catching her somewhere passing the half of the distance.
Pelligrini without having reachable target at the beginning of the race and not being pushed from behind has to compete against herself. So Ledecky will have sufficient cushion on the way home.
McKeon next to Ledecky will be a good indicator of how fast race is going in general. She also will see leaders on the way home.
Ledecky did have similar splits a year ago and showed noticeable progress at 100m in January. So it is very feasible to be at this range again. With the scenario described above her opponents won’t swim their bests.

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