How The Relay Quartets Stack Up: Men

The best ever: the term applied to Michael Phelps at London 2012 as he took his golden tally to 18 … but not to the Games, terrific as they were in many ways; not to any Games, in fact … they all had their merits and downsides - and Rio 2016 will be no different [Photo: Craig Lord]

The 15th FINA World Championships get underway on July 28. Eight days of blistering battle in Barcelona loom large. It may be post-Olympic year but the season form guide suggests that we’re in for a thriller. Over eight days, SwimVortex.com has rolled out previews for the 40 pool events. Today, we conclude the series with relays, men and women

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The 15th FINA World Championships get underway on July 28. Eight days of blistering battle in Barcelona loom large. It may be post-Olympic year but the season form guide suggests that we’re in for a thriller. Over eight days, SwimVortex.com has rolled out previews for the 40 pool events. Today, we conclude the series with relays, men and women

Comments

Triguy

I really think matt target should swim fly for Australia. While chris wright is good, I think he is more a 200 flyer than a sprint flyer.

SwimFanFinland

Big thanks for these previews. Suddenly Russia has a great shot at gold in Men’s 400m free relay. I don’t believe many would have expected that to happen. Still, I expect them to be on the podium but not at the first position. Consuming energy in Kazan will take it’s toll.

Paul

I think Russia will be hard to beat. I can’t see an Aussie-style meltdown with them.

But if Magnussen gets a stellar lead off and clear water for the rest of the team that could be the key.

Mike in Dallas

RE: 4 X 100 Freestyle — I, too, would have given the nod to France – right up until the moment Yannick Agnel announced that he was coming to USA to train under Michael Phelps’ old coach, Bob Bowman. The French press and the French National Team did NOT like this news at all, esp. given the timing just before Barcelona. Hey, guys, it’s all about perceptions and mental attitude.
As of now, I predict # 1: USA #2: Russia #3: France

john26

Since 2008, no 4×100 free relay that has gone into a championships event has come out the winner
2008 Fav: France, Winner: USA
2009 Fav: France, Winner: USA
2011 Fav: USA (??), Winner: Australia
2012 Fav: Australia, Winner: France
2013 Fav: Russia, Winner: ??

The trend doesn’t feel like its in a stable mood, and I have my gut feeling that Russia isn’t going to walk away with this one. The fact that they were already 3:10 really makes a strong case for that. This is a relay, how difficult is it for 4 individuals to hold taper for that 3 weeks? Definitely harder than it is for a single person to do it.

McGillrocks

I think Russia looks very dangerous in the 400 free relay. They are just so balanced and complete. All of the other countries have at least one slightly weak leg who swims around 48.5 or so. Russia has all 4 guys under 48. They are a real team, and now that Vlad is 47 mid they have star power.

I think they can go 1:09.5 if they put it together

McGillrocks

EDIT: under 48.2, though I think all 4 could split 47.5 or better

Scuba Steve

John26,

USA were actually favourite in 2008, and very nearly lost. They had 3 sub 48 swimmers coming out of trials (against France’s 1), but people seem to remember Alain Bernard’s pre-race comments more than the actual form at the time.

aswimfan

I agree with Scuba Steve.
And I think France was the favorite in 2011.

Scuba Steve

I agree with aswmfan re 2011.

In the Olympics:
USA were favourite in 2000, and lost
USA were favourite in 2004, and lost
USA were favourite in 2008, and won by the narrowest of margins
AUS were favourite in 2012, and lost (USA second, for the record)

I find it odd that there are regular comments that “USA always brings it to the big meets in this relay” etc. The reality over the past decade and a half is that they have actually underperformed against expectation more often than not.

For me, I think it’s between Russia and Australia this time around. I think the weaker Russians are stronger than the weaker Aussies, and that Magnussen probably needs to outsplit Morozov by 0.4. If Magnussen gets back down to 47.10 (or a 46.5 split), that might be enough. But that’s a pretyy big if, so I’m going with the Russians.

Belgium_kangoo

I also have a feeling the Russian might win, but then again being favorite isn’t the best position to be in for the 4×100 relay =)

Anyway, the US can’t win this one guys ! Morozov is as good as Adrian (better this season for me) and the rest of the US team lacks the depth of the Russians since Phelps is gone. They don’t have any other 47 swimmer.

Australia could win BUT they need not to repeat the errors of last year. The wild car is Cameron Mc evoy, how much he can improve is anyone’s guess but I’m betting on big things from him !! I can see a below 48 swim at this championschip ! so if roberts can get back to 47 or even 48 flat. with a fourth leg at 48,5 max and a perfect Magnussen, they might have the edge.

It’s gonna go down to the touch though, Russia or Aus as winner for me

France has been swimming average lately so the big big factor is how good Agnel is :s if he swims London style then they could remotely be a gold chance but I really don’t think so. they need 4 perfect swimmer and results lately don’t look promising

But then again, it’s the 4×100 so anything could happen really lol

Jaki

I believe in my french buddies!

No seriously, as said by most of you, the favourite is often loosing when becomes the big 4×100 free event…
The russian are really impressive, it’s been a few years now that Lobintsev, Grechin and Izotov give big performance. And now with the young Morozov as a best russian 100 swimmer, they truly have the most impressive team.
But I will bet on a french victory! Just to dream about another surprise, as in London!

The 800 and Medley relays will be just as much exciting in my opinion! Without Phelps, this is a new battle beginning in half of the swimming events! Especially in relays!

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