Daria K. Ustinova, Asterisk In Tow, Cracks 2:07 Into Realm Of Rio 200BK Podium Hopes

The unavoidable asterisk that taints unclean and clean alike in Russian swimming can be removed only by revolution at home, with clean athletes pressing the case for a clean culture and sport and getting on the case of their elders not the rest of the world. Pictured - Svetlana Chimrova, second left, and Veronica Popova, who shared a podium with  a two problems among many - Daria Ustinova*, left, Yulia Efimova*, right, for global honour - by Patrick B. Kraemer
The unavoidable asterisk that taints unclean and clean alike in Russian swimming can be removed only by revolution at home, with clean athletes pressing the case for a clean culture and sport and getting on the case of their elders not the rest of the world. Pictured - Svetlana Chimrova, second left, and Veronica Popova, who shared a podium with a two problems among many - Daria Ustinova*, left, Yulia Efimova*, right, for global honour - by Patrick B. Kraemer

Shiny suits make the Russian 200m backstroke record a hard act to follow: 2:04.94, Anastasia Zueva, back in 2009, Rome circus and all that. None of which made a 2:09.70 Rio 2016 cut an impediment to Zueva, now Fesikova as wife of sprinter Sergei Fesikov, qualifying for the battle in Brazil at the Olympics in August: 2:08.74. And that was just the silver. The gold went to Daria K. Ustinova in 2:06.92, a career high inside her Russian junior mark from last August in Chartres beyond a home World Championships.

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Comments

Rafael

Even without Ustinova, Missy situation was dire, now it is even worse.. High Chance of 0 individual gold, maybe even 0 medal at all.. (Maybe not even final on 100 back)

Ger

Only time will tell with regard to MF Rafael. Until we see her swim at the U.S. trials we just don’t know for sure. You may be correct. There are a lot of negative vibes around regarding her form/condition at this time. If she can improve on Kazan, she definitely has a very good shot at the 200 back.

Rafael

I am curious too, last GP she had a bad start and did not swim the rest of the meet..

There is some chance she could be beaten domestically on 100 back and that Ledecky/Schmitt get the top 2 200 free spots.. she would have the 200 back.. and the relays (4×200 for gold, the other 2 could get locked out of medal)

Bad Anon

1.Hocking 2.06.39
2. Seebohm 2.06.49
3. Ustinova 2.06.92
4.Franklin 2.06.34 (2015)
5. Hosszu 2.06.18 (2015)
6. Caldwell 2.07.96
7.Dirado 2.08.19
8.Coventry 2.09.66 (dark horse)

Eugene Chc

she can not even get to the final 100 back on Olympic Trial.
Adams, Coughlin, Baker, Bilquist, Bootsma, Smoliga, Dirado, Walsh, Smith and some other can beat her.

Craig Lord

2:04-2:05 Bad Anon.

Craig Lord

They won’t – she’ll be in the final, Eugene.

Bad Anon

A “slow” final may see all medalists on 2.05 .Think Missy is the only one capable of a 2.04 judging by from historical performances. Hocking has a 2.06.06 high from 2011, Seebohm touch faster in Kazan. Hosszu will have swum multiple finals before the 200back final and don’t see her being too much under 2.06. Think the race itself will be very competitive but the clock will tell another story

commonwombat

Until we get conclusive proof to that effect from US Trials; I’m not writing Franklin off, especially in the 200back.

The 100back could most certainly be problematic for her should she not be able to regain sub59 however, whilst there is the potential for a near full final of sub minutes at US Trials; few have been threatening the 59 barrier.

Whilst it appears Ledecky has a mortgage on one of the 2 US 200free spots; the 2nd is not out of play. Whilst Schmitt has been able to reattain 1.56 status; that is still quite a jump to sub 1.55 or better. Franklin was 1.55 last year and may still be very much in business to at least qualify in this event.

Bad Anon

My prediction this far out
1. Franklin 2.05.16
2. Seebohm 2.05.54
3.Hosszu 2.05.86
The speed of the American women at trials may give a better indication of Rio medal prospects. Dirado and Franklin my picks ahead of Beisel, Pelton et.al

felix

Rafael, calm down. Missy isn’t going to be slightest bit worried about some 2.06s. Definitely the one to beat, & she will be in Rio for the 100.

Yozhik

If people continue to push Missy with unfulfilled expectations and grim predictions she will follow Adlington’s steps. Let her enjoy the success of what is achievable now, but not being constantly sorry for not meeting expectations created mostly by media that put her in the position like she in deep debt for giving too much promises and getting by that undeserved attention. She is a very appealing person and media started immediately capitalise on “Phelps in Skirt”. She’s never been Phelps. Yes, the seventeen year old set a world record. Nothing unusual. Yes for next three years she didn’t break this record. It happens all the time with many. Yes, she is also a good freestyle sprinter that can get to the finals. It is not a rare situation to be confident with two long arm strokes. Is there a place for expectations? Sure, but for cautious ones. Her medal tally and her availability for very successful at the moment American relays that what has made the trick. So, let’s take it easy, let make the media environment suitable for Franklin’s development. Let help her to get maximum from her gift and be happy with whatever she can do but not to be sorry by not meeting someone’s expectations. American swimming needs this first class swimmer. Have you seen Franklin jumping, dancing on the deck, or hugging and kissing everybody around this year? If there would be no great mood, there would be no great results.

Craig Lord

Yozhik, quite so.

aswimfan

My current prediction for w200 back matches yiurs:
Gold – missy
Silver – seebohm
Bronze – hosszu

But now I must keep an eye on this Daria ustinova. 17 yo at Olympics is ripe with significant progress. I wonder if the Russians will participate in pre-olympics race meets (mare nostrum, seven Hills, Santa clara), to better gauge where they will be right before the Olympics.

aswimfan

Last year, Missy was still able to finish close second in 200 back. This year, after one full year training with her old coach at altitude, surely she will win 200 back?

aswimfan

I know this is kinda out there, but one of the best things that happened to Missy since London is the rise of Ledecky.
Now the public and media spotlight will be rightfully focused on Ledecky and this means less pressure on Missy to qualify in 4 individual events or the American media expectations that Missy would swept Rio, just as they did to Kathy Hoff in 2008.
The good thing for Ledecky is that she seems to have the personality that thrives on pressure and expectations and she definitely has very strong support system.

Felix Sanchez

I think we have to remember just how big Franklin’s theoretical gap in the 200 is. She can miss her best time by over second and still beat anyone taking a good chunk out of their best.

Bad Anon

Indeed Felix, she holds textile and world mark at 2.04.06 and Seebohm a distant second on the all time textile list 2.05.81(+1.75) , Zueva 2.05.92(+1.86), Hocking 2.06.06(+2.00).
So even if Missy is a full second slower than her best she has almost a full second cushion over her main competitors at their best

Craig Lord

Bad Anon and all: as ever, it will come down to the day, and the form guide for that day is not yet baked.

aswimfan

Hosszu could be very dangerous in 200 back if she trim her schedule and swim only 200/400 IM and 200 back as there’s day off between those events.

I know she’s an Iron Lady, but if she insists on swimming 100 back prelims, 200 free and 200 fly like in Kazan (in Rio, all those events scheduled before 200 back) , then she would be quite spent by the time 200nback final rolls on.

Remember that Hosszu broke 200 SCM WR of 1:59.23 at 2014 worlds Shor course. I think that should translate to 2:04 high or 2:05 flat/low. And we know that Hosszu can swim LCM.

So, it will be very interesting to see what Hosszu decides for her schedule. Good news for her is that Hungary is not sending any women’s relay to Rio, so she will be as fresh as anyone else in the individual events (again, if she doesn’t go for crazy schedule). Not so good news for Sjostrom who will have to swim all rekays prelims and finals (if sweden qualify)

Yozhik

Let’s see if what’s happened in Messa will have the continuation. Just one first race was great and then straight decline in performance. No iron, no stone, no concrete 🙂 No nothing. And no explanations ( have I missed some?)

Eugene Chc

aswimfan, in backstroke biggest difference between LCM and SCM. For Hosszu i think its about 7 second.

Craig Lord

And a 2:04 high would represent off-the-chart progress in 3 years for a 27 years old, it must be said, aswimfan

aswimfan

Eugene,
You are right. I forgot about backstroke’s SCM quirkiness. I still think Hosszu can sswim into 2:05mid if she’s relatively fresh.

Craig,
Not that some of the lady’s progress has raised a few eyebrows.

aswimfan

Not that some of the lady’s progress has NOT raised a few eyebrows.

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