China Aiming For ‘Rio Glory That Tops London Miracle’ With $4.7m War Chest

Ning Zetao by Patrick B. Kraemer

China is aiming to top its five-gold and 10-medals “miracle” tally from London 2012 in the pool at the Rio 2016 Olympic Games – and it will strive to do so with commercial backing, capitalist style with a twist. NetEase has reportedly invested more than 30 million yuan (US$4.7 million) in a five-year deal with Chinese swimming, with Ning Zetao, doping positive in tow, the poster boy

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China is aiming to top its five-gold and 10-medals “miracle” tally from London 2012 in the pool at the Rio 2016 Olympic Games – and it will strive to do so with commercial backing, capitalist style with a twist. NetEase has reportedly invested more than 30 million yuan (US$4.7 million) in a five-year deal with Chinese swimming, with Ning Zetao, doping positive in tow, the poster boy

Comments

Bad Anon

If Ye and Sun swim to their potential that’s 5 [gold] medals already 200/400im 200/400/1500free respectively. Gold is in parentheses obviously because their events will be fiercely contested more than london 2012. Fu will be a medal favourite in the 100back, she was 59 flat in Kazan a tad off the bronze medal time. Zetao will be facing Magnussen, Adrian, McEvoy as well as the speedy Russian. and French swimmers. China can win more than 10 medals. not sure if they’ll. best. 5 gold

commonwombat

Interesting analysis, BA. I can agree with a large percentage but with one major qualifier.

Predicting medal colour at this point is pretty risky. There are maybe half a dozen events that look to be “locks” for gold (W400/800/4X100/4X200/M4XMED) but beyond that it’s probably safer to categorise as “potential Golds” or as strong/solid medal chances.

To the specifics:
– would agree Sun as very solid medal in 400/1500 (with potential upgrade to gold);

– Fu a realistic medal prospect.

– Zetao in 100; a good medal chance with gold potential but at this point that event looks a crapshoot where you probably couldn’t say anyone is a safe medal bet.

– defending their 4xMED gold from Kazan won’t be easy certainly far from out of the question.

– overall tally beyond 10 is certainly plausible but a tough ask. It would certainly have them likely to tip out AUS from 2nd in the total medals standings. Five golds – probably doing very well to match it

Rafael

About Ye, even if she swims the way she did at last OG… Katinka took the 200 IM to new heights.. can´t see anyone beating her.

Sun might have some problems on 1500 with Paltrinieri even swimming well.

Fu can medal, but Seebohm/Wilson and Mie seems a little ahead of Fu now.

They can have from 2 golds (Sun 400 maybe and the girls medley relay) to up to 7 (1 from Zetao, 3 from Sun, 1 from Ye and 1 Girls Medley)

We also have to watch the improvement of Li Zhuhao and their medley relay

Bad Anon

Australia enjoyed big success in Beijing after pumping in big money into swimming. Success came in the form of Steph Rice; Libby Tricket and Leisel Jones all with individual golds and a near clean sweep of the women’s relays. The Aussie men didn’t perform as well. I’m sure China are hoping that they too will enjoy the same success by ploughing in resources; if not in Rio surely Tokyo 2020 will be their best Olympic games

felix

10 medals I don’t think so. 5 gold certainly not. Ye wont feature. Fu wont medal. Sun may not even swim the 1500 and if Agnel is in form he wins the 200. I will predict this Sun wins the 400 he is so much better than anyone else in this event and medals in 200 which really isn’t a prediction but we are close to Rio and no one is beating him.
Women’s 200fly they could definitely win gold, its the most open event on the program. Ning will medal and is the man to beat. They may sneak in a medal in women’s 100br and 2 relay medals. I would like to see Wang in the 400im the way he swims the 200 he could definitely be a 4.08 guy and be in the medals because he ain’t winning a medal in the 200 against the 3 best swimmers in the world…..

So maybe 3 or 4 gold, maybe 8 medals.

commonwombat

BA, the “big money” to AUS Swimming had stopped some time before Beijing but the frequent scenario is when there are major investments built around a home Olympics (in this case Sydney); the flow on effects tend to linger for a few cycles afterward … particularly when there was a strong base to work off. Cases in point AUS in Athens then Beijing

Beijing was essentially the last hurrah for the “Sydney generation” like Hackett & to a degree Jones plus the full maturing of the following generation (likes of Trickett, Rice, Rickard).

The Brits are probably seeing a somewhat mirrored scenario post London with the money being less but the maturing of the generation that has been developed over that time.

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