60Secs From Adam Peaty As Siobhan-Marie O’Connor Goes 1:07 To Start Medley Mash

Siobhan-Marie O'Connor of Great Britain - by Patrick B. Kraemer
Siobhan-Marie O'Connor of Great Britain - by Patrick B. Kraemer

Double World Champion Adam Peaty slipped in a quiet 1:00.05 Olympic-season opener over 100m breaststroke at the Miami Super Challenge on train-race tour Down Under, while, good as that minute was, the 100m breaststroke swim that caught the eye was the one that produced a hint of medley might to come: Peaty’s Britain teammate Siobhan-Marie O’Connor, on 1:07.79, a maiden 1:07 at the start of a medley mash

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Comments

Gergö Horvath

Hosszu just went 2.08 in the 200 IM in France – 2.05 high and gold for the Iron Lady in Rio 🙂
– [report: http://www.swimvortex.com/speedy-sprint-start-to-olympic-season-for-florent-manaudou-a-nice-21-72/%5D

aswimfan

2:08 in January is just nuts, not as crazy as Ledecky swimming 8:06 in January tho 🙂

I think Hosszu should just swim 200/400 IM and 200 back in Rio, and forget about 100 back, 100/200 free, or 200 fly.

She’s strong gold medal favorite in 200/400 IM and can even win 200 back without the cumbersome of swimming other events where she has little chance to medal.

paolo rubbiani

In my opinion, 1.56.07 in 200 free by Michelle Coleman is a breakthrough news for her (PB?), and for Sweden’s perspectives in the women’s relays (not only the 4×200 free).

Coleman (’93, like Sjostrom) is a talented swimmer, and if she finds the right form, together with the rise of polyvalent Louise Hansson (’96) and her sister Sophie (’98), breaststroke specialist beside 50 World champion Jennie Johansson , may boost the chances to medal at Olympics for all the Swedish relays.

This will be really an intriguing season towards Rio, if we think that we are just at the end of January..

aswimfan

Paolo,

Even when they placed fourth in Kazan 4×100 and 4×200 free, Sweden was still a bit behind the bronze medalists.

You are right that Sweden can still improve if Coleman and Hansson continue to improve. and That is an upside. Having Sjostrom is obviously a major major plus.

However, there are a couple of problems with Sweden:

1. Sjostrom.
She is BY FAR the reason Sweden finished 4th in both free relays and silver in medley relay. Yes, having her is a huge advantage, but if she has an off day, then Sweden can go from silver to not even qualify to final.

2. No Depth.
Sweden just does not have the luxury of USA or Australia/China to a degree to have alternates for its relays. And then when a swimmer is having an off day, they can’t replace her with another swimmer. Or the next swimmer is far slower. This has happened to the Netherlands in London. Most people had predicted the Dutch ladies to win 4x100free (I did not, I had predicted Australia in speedendurance blog), but then Inge Dekker had terrible swim in the final and there went their gold.
Or Denmark in Kazan. Many had predicted Denmark to be in medal contention in medley Rio in Kazan. But then at the end of the week it was obvious that Pedersen did not have a good meet at all. They still had to swim Pedersen in both prelims and final because they had no other choice, and she split 1:07+, a swimmer who has 1:05+ PB from flat start.

In all three relays in Kazan, Sweden swam the same swimmers in both prelims and finals. So you can now imagine if one swimmer is having a bad day, and especially if it’s Sjostrom.

However if the positive upsides like what you wrote above materialize, and none of the potential problems I wrote above does not happen, then yes Sweden has improved chances for medal in all relays.

Iain

Actually, Sweden didn’t swim the same teams in heat and final in the 4x200m, but they could only afford to swap their weakest swimmer.

aswimfan

Iain,

You are correct, Stina Gradell was substituted by Ida Marko Varga in the final

aswimfan

That reminds me of another point:
Had Sarah Sjostrom been a US swimmer, she would have had a tons of golds and other medals from Olympics/Worlds.

paolo rubbiani

@Aswimfan: yes, obviously Sweden (like Denmark or The Netherlands) has a small group of high-level international swimmers and must hope that everything goes well as regards injuries or health troubles, but this is true in general.
Last year, my Italy won a great silver medal at Worlds in the 4×200 free relay, but if, not only the well-known Pellegrini, but also, for instance, the less famous Alice Mizzau, hadn’t been healthy or also only they had been in bad shape, the history would have been different. And so for other teams (Australia, with the forfeits of Elmslie and Palmer and weak performances by Barratt and also McKeon; etc ).
Injuries and health troubles, or just a poor shape of some “pivotal swimmers”, may obviously happen in every team, but are unpredictable…till they happen, so I think that we can do our predictions “sic stantibus rebus”, i.e. assuming no injuries or health troubles. And for us, real swimming-fans, is interesting to stay here to comment a meeting in January, in the midst of training, first to have news, then to try to sharpen our “forumistic” predictions for the main events.

aswimfan

O’Connor needs to improve her backstroke if she wants to win silver or even just bronze in Rio.

In Kazan, she was still competitive with Hosszu in fly, but Hosszu left her behind in backstroke. And then Watanabe was able to claw back during breast. Watanabe seriously improved her free that she actually caught and passed O’Connor in the last meters.

Craig Lord

I think she will indeed improve aswimfan but the race will be about more than 3 people. The likes of Maya Dirado and others may well have something loud to say, too, on medley – and there’ll be some surprises, I’d imagine…

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